Mondo’s Premium Picks: NBA Best Bets for March 11

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Our resident gambling guru breaks down his two favorite NBA plays for Thursday

By Raymond Harrison | @MondoHarrison

After the All-Star break hiatus, the NBA is back with 11 games on today’s schedule.

I’ll be breaking down my favorite sides, totals and player props for the night. All odds listed are courtesy of William Hill and subject to change before tipoff.

Let’s dive in.

Detroit Pistons vs. Charlotte Hornets (-4.5)

Best bet: Hornets -4.5 (-110)

Tip off – 4:05 p.m. PT

The Pistons own a surprisingly sound 18-16-2 record against the spread in 2021. For a team that has an actual record of 10-26, it is an impressive feat.

I just do not think that trend continues, as injuries and trades have ravaged the roster. Most recently, the team bought out Blake Griffin so he could sign with a contender.

Jerami Grant, Frank Jackson, Josh Jackson and Delon Wright are all questionable for this game. The Pistons are 1-3 ATS in their last four coming in and 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings in Charlotte.

The Hornets have talent, and they expect to have guard Devonte’ Graham back on the floor. A win ties them with the Miami Heat for first place in the Southeast Division, so I think this turns into a double-digit Hornets victory.

Back the better team to cover. As a bonus, also look at LaMelo Ball to go over 17.5 points (-125). He has beat the number in six consecutive games and has hit it in 11 of 15 games as a starter.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

Best bet: Shake Milton over 20.5 points + assists (-125)

Tip off – 8:05 p.m. PT

The 76ers are without Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons for this contest. That means Shake Milton is the primary point guard for this game and likely the team’s best scoring option aside from Tobias Harris.

All three times the 24-year-old has played at least 29:30 in a game this season, he has hit this total.

The Bulls are the 22nd-ranked defense against opposing point guards in 2021. I think Milton will be a focal point of the offense tonight and easily hit this prop.

Next Read: Las Vegas Aces Look Like Title Contenders Again in 2021

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