Mondo’s Premium Picks: NHL Best Bets for March 9

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin
Our resident gambling guru offers his best bets for Tuesday's NHL action

By Raymond Harrison | @MondoHarrison

We have nine games on Tuesday’s NHL slate as the 2021 season keeps chugging along.

I’ll be going over my best bets for today’s game and provide reasoning for my picks.

All odds are courtesy of Circa Sports. As always, please play responsibly.

Florida Panthers (-126) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (+115)

Best bet: Panthers money line (-126)

Puck drop – 4 p.m. PT

The Panthers look like a Central Division juggernaut as we near the midway point of the season. They have the fifth-best points percentage in hockey (.708%), and their analytical profiles back up the success.

They are seventh in the league in Corsi For percentage (CF%), ninth in the league in expected Goals For (xGF) and fifth in the league in expected Goals Against (xGA).

Even though Aleksander Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau are playing on separate lines this season, they are both performing at elite levels.

By contrast, the Blue Jackets are an analytical black hole. They have the worst CF% in hockey, sit 30th in xGF and have given up the third-most high-danger goals in the league.

Even at -126, I think there is still value with the Panthers. The line implies that the Panthers win the game 55.8% of the time. In actuality, I think that should be closer to 60%.

Buffalo Sabres (+206) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (-228)

Best bet: Flyers -1.5 (+107)

Puck drop – 4 p.m. PT

This is not the sharpest play I have ever offered, but my goodness the Sabres are bad.

They have lost seven games in a row, which includes two shutout losses at the hands of the Flyers. During that streak, they are averaging just 1.57 goals per game.

Now their captain and best player Jack Eichel is out with an upper-body injury. Likewise, goaltender Jonas Johansson will be in the net tonight. He has allowed three or more goals in seven of his eight career starts.

Eventually, the Sabres will find their footing in a bounce-back game, but I dislike their chances in Philly. I am tempted to play Flyers -0.5 1P (+125), as well.

Next Read: Vegas Golden Knights Plays of the Week: Mark Stone Makes Magic

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin